{"id":12318,"date":"2018-09-04T19:17:44","date_gmt":"2018-09-04T19:17:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tmc.edu\/news\/bracing-for-a-deficit-of-doctors\/"},"modified":"2019-08-16T15:04:25","modified_gmt":"2019-08-16T15:04:25","slug":"bracing-for-a-deficit-of-doctors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tmc.edu\/news\/2018\/09\/bracing-for-a-deficit-of-doctors\/","title":{"rendered":"Bracing for a Deficit of Doctors"},"content":{"rendered":"

The exodus of baby boomers from the workforce has begun and, with it, the retirement of tens of thousands of physicians.<\/p>\n

The United States could see a shortage of as many as 120,000 physicians by 2030, according to a recent report published by the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC)<\/strong><\/a>. Fueling the shortfall is population growth, an increase in the number of aging Americans and the retirement of doctors.<\/p>\n

Should doctors work longer? Should they retire at 65? And what does the exodus mean for other physicians and patients?<\/p>\n

\u201cWe actually need physicians to stick around longer,\u201d said Barbara Bass, M.D., executive director of the Houston Methodist Institute for Technology, Innovation and Education (MITIE) and president of the American College of Surgeons<\/strong><\/a>. \u201cWe are anticipating major shortages in general surgery, orthopedics and urology in the next decade or two as the current crop of physicians retire.\u201d<\/p>\n

A 2016 study published in the Annals of Family Medicine<\/strong><\/a> found that primary care physicians who retired from clinical practice between 2010 and 2014 were 65 years old on average.<\/p>\n

Bass recommends finding ways to keep retirement-age surgeons in good practice for a longer period of time. One suggestion: fewer hours.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe come to work at seven, go home at seven, and you couple that with a few nights of being on call and being up all night, it really takes its toll,\u201d she said. \u201cIt\u2019s one thing to stay up all night when you are 22, but when you are 62, it\u2019s really hard.”<\/p>\n

Our work does demand a certain degree of physical performance and fitness\u2014whether that is just standing for a long time, visual acuity or manual dexterity.\u201d<\/p>\n

In a study released by American Medical Association Insurance\u2014 \u201cThe 2014 Work\/Life Profiles of Today\u2019s U.S. Physician<\/strong><\/a>\u201d\u2014researchers found that 21 percent of responding physicians aged 60 to 69 worked fewer than 40 hours per week, but another 20 percent of the same age group worked more than 60 hours per week. Across all ages, nearly half the physicians surveyed said they would prefer to work fewer hours.<\/p>\n

Still, a national movement that supports older doctors working fewer hours has yet to take root.<\/p>\n

Tests and teaching<\/h4>\n

Some have suggested that physicians who hope to work past age 65 might benefit from regular testing to gauge their mental and physical acuity. Others counter that, although no mandatory evaluation process for aging physicians exists in the U.S., board certification and hospital regulations help ensure that patients receive the best quality of care.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe closest thing really has to do with re-credentialing\u2014that has to happen at all hospitals on a two-or three-year basis,\u201d said Savitri Fedson, M.D., associate professor in the Center for Medical Ethics and Health Policy at Baylor College of Medicine. \u201cTo maintain hospital privileges to do a certain procedure, you have to have demonstrated that you have done a certain number of procedures in the last two years with an acceptable complication rate.\u201d<\/p>\n

In addition, she said, physicians with board certification receive continuing education in their specialty and keep up with advances in technology, patient safety and more. A \u201cboard-certified\u201d physician is dedicated to providing top-notch patient care via a rigorous, voluntary commitment to lifelong learning.<\/p>\n

Some physicians are able to shift into academic roles in their later years, but that\u2019s not a viable option for the majority.<\/p>\n

\u201cOne of the things that happens in academic centers is that as people get older and you try and get them out of clinical responsibilities, they certainly have a huge wealth of knowledge and would be some of the best teachers for medical students,\u201d Fedson said. \u201cBut that is not a financially feasible model the way our health care is set up, because the reimbursement for teaching is not done to the same extent that reimbursement is done for procedures and, therefore, it is hard to justify salaries.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Brain drain<\/h4>\n

Experts anticipate a massive brain drain in health care as baby boomers leave medicine.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe concern for me is the loss of wisdom that comes from people who are still practicing at a good level,\u201d said Joseph Kass, M.D., Baylor professor in the departments of Neurology, Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences and in Medical Ethics and Health Policy. \u201cMaybe their hand skills aren\u2019t as amazing as they used to be, but they still have a wisdom and a knowledge\u2014not just because they have been doing this for 40 years, but because they have kept up with developments, they have perspective and know history and the human mistakes of yore.\u201d<\/p>\n

Intergenerational learning also offers tangible benefits to younger physicians immersed in technology, said Kass, who is also Baylor\u2019s associate dean of Student Affairs.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere is an art to medicine that does get lost because of technology,\u201d he said. \u201cTechnology is great\u2014we want the imaging, we want all of these things to diagnose better, but there is still the laying of hands on a patient and being able to take a really good history. Those are the things we stand to lose.\u201d<\/p>\n

Managing patient expectations<\/h4>\n

The AAMC estimates a shortfall of between 14,800 and 49,300 primary care physicians by 2030.<\/p>\n

\u201cPart of the problem with that is that we still have a relative deficit of primary care physicians,\u201d Fedson said. \u201cWe have made up some of that with the wider acceptance of physician extenders\u2014the use of well-trained nurse practitioners and physician assistants to help, but I think the impending shortages of physicians will mean that it will probably be more difficult to do some things.\u201d<\/p>\n

Certainly, patients will need to be more realistic about where they receive their care.<\/p>\n

\u201cPart of the expectation in this country is that \u2018I have a right to see whatever specialist I want to.\u2019 So patients think if you have joint pain, you should go see an orthopedic surgeon. That is not necessarily the case,\u201d Fedson said. \u201cIf you have joint pain, once you exclude trauma or break or anything mechanically wrong, you could see a physical therapist instead. That gatekeeper can be beneficial for patients and streamline appropriate care for patients with a dwindling number of sub specialists.\u201d<\/p>\n

Managing physician expectations<\/h4>\n

Aside from the impact retiring baby boomers will have on the health care industry, it is worth considering what retirement will mean for physicians who have been practicing for close to half a century. Physicians contemplating retirement should reflect on their hobbies and interests before making a move, Fedson said.<\/p>\n

\u201cIn medicine, we get positive reinforcement nearly every day. People thank you for what you do and while we don\u2019t explicitly need the thanks, I think everyone likes to know that what they are doing has value,\u201d she said. \u201cYou go from working in a field where you know, on some level, what you are doing makes a difference. And then not to have that, suddenly, can be very, very difficult from an emotional well-being standpoint.\u201d<\/p>\n

As long as aging physicians can complete their duties, Bass said, keeping them around and delaying retirement could be beneficial.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf their performance is strong and capable, let\u2019s figure out ways to keep them on board as opposed to ways to shut them down,\u201d Bass said. \u201cWe need capable, happy, healthy physicians that can provide care to our patients. As we look ahead to the anticipated shortage of physicians, if we can find a positive way to extend one\u2019s career\u2014even on a part-time basis\u2014that is going to be a good thing.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The exodus of baby boomers from the workforce has begun and, with it, the retirement of tens of thousands of physicians. The United States could see a shortage of as many as 120,000 physicians by 2030, according to a recent report published by the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC). Fueling the shortfall is population […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":12320,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[3061,1695,3060],"yoast_head":"\nBracing for a Deficit of Doctors - TMC News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tmc.edu\/news\/2018\/09\/bracing-for-a-deficit-of-doctors\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bracing for a Deficit of Doctors - TMC News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The exodus of baby boomers from the workforce has begun and, with it, the retirement of tens of thousands of physicians. 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